Measuring Stopping and Spacing in Fertility Transitions: A Regression Approach

Date and time: Fri, 31st Mar 2017, 3:00pm – 4:00pm

Location:Jean Martin Room in Beryl Rawson Building

Presenter: Professor George Alter, Research Professor in the Institute for Social Research and Professor of History at the University of Michigan.

Title: Measuring Stopping and Spacing in Fertility Transitions: A Regression Approach

Abstract: A very influential model of the Demographic Transition was based on the conclusion that fertility decline in Europe was due to “stopping” (terminating childbearing at younger ages) rather than “spacing” (increasing the time between births). This interpretation had important practical and policy implications, because it was linked to arguments about knowledge and acceptability of birth control. Recently, the same issue has re-emerged in research on Africa, where some observers see modern contraception being used for spacing by women who still desire large families. Evidence and interpretation have been challenged in both historical and contemporary debates, but progress has been hindered by the absence of an agreed upon measure for spacing. This presentation will present estimates from the “cure model,” a regression technique that estimates the impact of co-variates on both stopping and spacing. Comparisons will be drawn from 18th and 19th century Europe and late 20th century Africa.

Supply vs. demand? The political economy of trade, tobacco farming and tobacco control in Sub-Saharan Africa

Public Seminar
Supply vs. demand? The political economy of trade, tobacco farming and tobacco control in Sub-Saharan Africa

Speaker: Ronald Labonté
Date: 30 March 2017
Time: 5:00 – 6.00pm
Venue: Coombs Extension Building, Seminar Room 1.04, 8 Fellows Road, ANU

Professor Ronald Labonté is Canada Research Chair in Globalization and Health Equity, Professor in the Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, and Professor in the Faculty of Health Sciences, Flinders University.

The World Health Organization’s Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) is a binding international treaty with recommended actions member states should take to reduce tobacco consumption. Challenges to implement the FCTC have been most striking in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) with little prior history of tobacco control policies. This seminar will present key findings from a multi-year study of trade, tobacco farming and tobacco control in three Sub-Saharan African countries: Kenya, Zambia and Malawi.

For more details see:

http://regnet.anu.edu.au/news-events/events/6710/supply-vs-demand-political-economy-trade-tobacco-farming-and-tobacco-control

Aging, Depression, and Non-Communicable Diseases in South Africa

In March the ANU’s Crawford School announced
Working Paper No. 2017/04 in the Working Papers in
Trade and Development series.

“This Working Paper series provides a vehicle for preliminary circulation of research results in the fields of economic development and international trade. The series is intended to stimulate discussion and critical comment. Staff and visitors in any part of the Australian National University are encouraged to contribute. To facilitate prompt distribution, papers are screened, but not formally refereed.’

Copies may be obtained at WWW Site
http://www.crawford.anu.edu.au/acde/publications/

Aging, Depression, and Non-Communicable Diseases in South Africa
Manoj K. Pandey#, Vani S. Kulkarni## and Raghav Gaiha###
# Development Policy Centre, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. Email: manoj.pandey@anu.edu.au.
## Vani S. Kulkarni, Department of Sociology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA.
Email: Vanik@sas.upenn.edu
### Corresponding author. Raghav Gaiha, Global Development Institute, University of Manchester, Manchester,
United Kingdom. email: raghavdasgaiha@gmail.com

ABSTRACT

” This is the first study that offers a comprehensive analysis of depression among the old (60+ years) in South Africa. By using an analytical framewrok that builds on the (sparse) extant literature and a new dataset extracted from the four waves of the South African National Income Dynamics Study (2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014), we examine factors contributing to depression of people in this age cohort. Depending on whether the dependent variable is binary (self-reported depression for ≥ 3 days in a week) or continuous (as in two indices of depression), we use random effects probit estimator with Mundlak adjustment or simply random effects with Mundlak adjustment. It is found that, among the old, those in their sixties, the Africans and Coloureds, women, those suffering from multimorbidity, those in lower asset quartiles, and individuals suffering family bereavement are more likely to be depressed. Factors that attenuate depression include marriage, pension, affluence, and trust in a community and familiar neighbourhoods.”

Africa Rising! The role of African cities and city-regions in Africa’s new industrial revolution

Africa Rising! The role of African cities and city-regions in Africa’s new industrial revolution

A presentation by
The Hon David Makhura
Premier of Gauteng Province, South Africa

Wednesday 5 April, 12:30pm
Refreshments served from 12:00 noon
AIIA Conference Centre – Stephen House
32 Thesiger Court
Deakin ACT 2600

“What are the competing narratives about “Africa Rising”? What are the driving forces and factors behind Africa’s improving prospects for economic development and growth? What is the role of cities and city-regions in driving Africa’s new industrial revolution in order to realise the African Union’s Agenda 2063?

The Gauteng City Region is made up of three of South Africa’s top six metropolitan cities. With a population of around 13 million, it incorporates South Africa’s largest metropolis and commercial hub, Johannesburg, and the country’s capital, Pretoria. It is South Africa’s economic engine, contributing 35% to the country’s GDP, 42% to national industrial output, 40% to national employment and 63% to national exports. It contributes between 8% to 10% of Africa’s GDP and is the most diversified and advanced economy on the Continent, home to the largest and most sophisticated Stock Exchange in Africa. It thus plays an increasingly important role in Africa’s changing economic fortunes. It is a leading manufacturing hub of Sub-Saharan Africa and is positioned strategically to advance Africa’s industrialisation, infrastructure development and economic integration. It is the leading sub-national economy in attracting the largest FDI flows into Africa. What are the implications for other cities and city-regions in Africa?”

________________________________________
The Hon David Makhura is the Premier of Gauteng Province and a leading member of South Africa’s ruling party, the African National Congress.

________________________________________

This is an AIIA ACT Branch event.

Registration is encouraged through the following link:

http://tdy.cl/e/Q1-LUV0

Registration is also available at the door.

For more information, see
Email not displaying correctly? View it in your browser.

Africa Rising! The role of African cities and city-regions in Africa’s new industrial revolution

A presentation by

The Hon David Makhura
Premier of Gauteng Province, South Africa

Wednesday 5 April, 12:30pm
Refreshments served from 12:00 noon
AIIA Conference Centre – Stephen House
32 Thesiger Court
Deakin ACT 2600
The discourse on Africa has changed from a profoundly negative and pessimistic view during the first five decades of independence to an incredibly positive storyline in the past decade. Africa’s prospects in the 21st century have changed the narrative from “The Dark Continent” to “Africa Rising”. What are the competing narratives about “Africa Rising”? What are the driving forces and factors behind Africa’s improving prospects for economic development and growth? What is the role of cities and city-regions in driving Africa’s new industrial revolution in order to realise the African Union’s Agenda 2063?

The Gauteng City Region is made up of three of South Africa’s top six metropolitan cities. With a population of around 13 million, it incorporates South Africa’s largest metropolis and commercial hub, Johannesburg, and the country’s capital, Pretoria. It is South Africa’s economic engine, contributing 35% to the country’s GDP, 42% to national industrial output, 40% to national employment and 63% to national exports. It contributes between 8% to 10% of Africa’s GDP and is the most diversified and advanced economy on the Continent, home to the largest and most sophisticated Stock Exchange in Africa. It thus plays an increasingly important role in Africa’s changing economic fortunes. It is a leading manufacturing hub of Sub-Saharan Africa and is positioned strategically to advance Africa’s industrialisation, infrastructure development and economic integration. It is the leading sub-national economy in attracting the largest FDI flows into Africa. What are the implications for other cities and city-regions in Africa?

________________________________________

This is an AIIA ACT Branch event.

Registration is encouraged through the following link:

http://tdy.cl/e/Q1-LUV0

Registration is also available at the door.

For more information, news, and future events, see the links below:

https://aiiaact.tidyhq.com/public/events/12364-africa-rising-the-role-of-african-cities-and-city-regions-in-africa-s-new-industrial-revolution

Zwangobani thesis on Becoming African Australian

Kirk Zwangobani was awarded his PhD at the ANU’s December graduation ceremony, his topic being ‘Convivial Multiculture and the Perplication of Race: The Dynamics of Becoming African Australian’.

The Abstract is in the ANU library catalogue at

http://library.anu.edu.au/search~S4?/YZwangobani&searchscope=4&SORT=DZ/YZwangobani&searchscope=4&SORT=DZ&extended=0&SUBKEY=Zwangobani/1%2C2%2C2%2CB/frameset&FF=YZwangobani&searchscope=4&SORT=DZ&1%2C1%2C

It reads as follows:

“This thesis explores the intertwined problems of belonging and becoming as seen through the lens of the African Australian experience. What is at stake is the question of what it would mean to think through and represent the specific and non-generalisable experiences of being ‘African Australian’, without preventing the becoming that, I will argue, is proper to all social experience. This problem is explored through a qualitative study of African Australian youth, involving in-depth interviews and participant observation. While I highlight some of the peculiarities of the Australian experience, my aim is to use the empirical material to productively reinflect the problems of belonging and becoming as they play out in an always emergent sociality. An analysis of the empirical material suggests that there are two clearly identifiable modes by which African Australian youth negotiate the sense of their difference, which I refer to as ascriptive and affiliative negotiations of difference. I suggest that such negotiations of difference play an important role in enabling those for whom racial difference has a negative status to actively and productively engage that difference. Yet such negotiations of difference risk remaining constrained by the epidermal reflex and the manner in which race folds back into – or, to use the term that I develop in the thesis, perplicates in – social experience. Yet the empirical material also points to the more open and indeterminate aspects of everyday encounters, which I theorise through the lens of affect theory. I argue for the significance of a Deleuzian reading of affect, which distinguishes itself from more subjective understandings of affect by insisting on a shift away from identity as the ground of social experience, towards an ontology of differentiation, process and becoming. I conclude that convivial multiculture is best understood in both its micropolitical and macropolitical aspects. Convivial multiculture, seen from the point of view of an ontology of difference and becoming, is an emergent social field that is always already in play; yet, it requires convivial practices to enable its expression in social reality. While I argue for the significance of this more indeterminate and excessive aspect of the African Australian experience, I also stress that experience cannot be understood without grasping the way that race perplicates within it. The novelty of my argument is to offer new ways of conceptualising the complex relationship between belonging and becoming within the context of the problem of race. For all the ways that race folds back into social experience, if we take the question ‘how do I belong?’ as a productive impetus rather than a problem to be solved, we may be able to better attune to the openness and unpredictability of what is to come.”

Past events Legalising Authoritarianism in Egypt

Professor Amr Hamzawy

Date & time
6–7pm 14 March 2017
Location
The Auditorium, 188 Fellows Lane, 2601 Acton

‘This talk examines the ways in which successive Egyptian governments have utilised lawmaking to eliminate opponents and silence voices of dissent since the coup of 3 July 2013.’

Professor Amr Hamzawy studied political science and developmental studies in Cairo, The Hague, and Berlin and is a former member of the People’s Assembly.

Professor Hamzawy’s visit to the ANU Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies is supported by the Council for Australian-Arab Relations’ (CAAR), through its International Speakers Program. The CAAR is a non-statutory, regional council in the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT).

For more details see:

http://www.anu.edu.au/events/legalising-authoritarianism-in-egypt

UNFPA chief to talk about Global Health

Dr Babatunde Osotimehin, Executive Director of UNFPA, the United Nations Population Fund, will talk on global health and sexual and reproductive health and rights.

Dr Osotimehin is a global leader with expertise in public health, women’s empowerment and young people. He has a particular focus on promoting human rights, including sexual and reproductive health and rights, as well as population and development.

He has previously served as Nigeria’s Minister for Health, and also as the Director General of the Nigerian National Agency for the Control of HIV and AIDS.

Monday 27 March 2017
6.00pm–7.30pm
Venue
Molonglo Theatre , Level 2, JG Crawford Building 132, Lennox Crossing, ANU

For more information and registration, see
https://crawford.anu.edu.au/news-events/events/9302/tackling-global-health

ANU hosts Mineral and Energy Economics course

This six-week  Mineral and Energy Economics course represents a collaborative initiative between the University of Pretoria South Africa, and The Australian National University, and is funded by DFAT under the Australia Africa Awards scheme.

The first two weeks will be held in Pretoria and the subsequent four weeks at the Crawford School of Public Policy, ANU, from Monday 27 March to Friday 21 April. The participants will be from the following African nations: Kenya, Swaziland, Uganda, Zimbabwe, Ghana, Madagascar, Tanzania, Zambia, Liberia, Malawi, Cameroon, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, Mozambique, Guinea, Cote d’Ivoire and Mali.

ANU Enterprise will organise a Networking Event at the Crawford School on Tuesday 28 March.

This short course will be repeated from Monday 2 May to Friday 26 May.